STORM IS WILD FOR MANY, ONE OF THE TOP STORMS IN RHODE ISLAND HISTORY , NYC SNOW LOVERS DISAPPOINTED

Upper West side had 8.3 inches, Central Park as of 7 am 7.8 inches, the Bronx 9.9 inches, LGA had 11 inches to the east on Long Island Massapequa 14.2 inches, Islip 20.9 inches. Orient 28.5 inches and Mattituck 24.8 inches. It was still snowing all these locations so final amounts will rise at that time.

Further north and east it has been as promised quite a snowstorm. I have been up since maybe 4:30am with S+ and as near to zero visibility as I can remember in quite a while (50 yards). After easing off a bit (but still less than 1/4 mile, it is back to 1/8 or less as I write this.

We will see 36 inches+ in central New England. Worcester reported 25 inches this morning.

The HRRR 3km model from 12Z adds 17 inches to the close to 18 inches so far here and near a foot in Worcester.

The jackpot was supposed to be NYC and southeast New England. Eastern Long Island and central New England though were ground zero targets with the storm center developing maybe 100 miles east of forecast.

See the snow still flying at 18Z.

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This is the most in a single storm I have seen here in my 30 years.

kind of like the GEM on what follows. The EC is an outlier with the storm next week among its ensemble members, many of which have strong arctic high pressure where the op run has a storm moving through southern New England. I think the storm is real but will track south and be a snow for DC, PHl, NYC.

It is followed by frigid air and at the end of the next week another storm likely snow for the northeast followed by more even colder affecting the central and then the east. Chicago will see sub zero cold and that air masss if as shown would threaten Florida.


First-Look Accumulation Map

First-Look Accumulation Map

Disclaimer: This entire forecast is based on a storm track that is close enough to Southern New England to bring steady snow. Our main concern with the forecast is that the storm tracks farther south than currently projected, and takes the steadiest snow with it. In that case, Southern New England would be on the northern (lighter) edge of the storm.
We are looking at a storm that starts after midnight and before dawn on Monday. It will most likely be an issue for the Monday morning commute because the snow will have an easier time sticking to the pavement before dawn. Snow is likely all day Monday. The temperature will be in the dropping through the 20s and may reach the teens late in the day. With such cold temperatures, and snow already on the ground, the snow would continue to accumulate during the day. The storm will likely wind down by midnight, so it will not last quite as long as we originally expected. We’ll be watching the computer model trends and evolution of the system which is reaching California Friday morning. The storm is still three days away, and we will nail the forecast down over the weekend – hopefully on Saturday.